I do not mean to be cynical, but just now I am feeling skeptical of any economic theory. No economist predicted the current crisis and when it started everybody underestimated the severity. Alan Greenspan recently said that in effect all the old rules no longer apply. We have just been told that we are officially in a recession, which all us non-economists had no problem figuring out on our own. Now all the economists are saying that things will get back to normal next year, which I would like to believe, but given their track record, why should I trust anything that they say?