What do you make of the significant discrepancy between small media election polls and big media election polls?

What do you make of the significant discrepancy between small media election polls and big media election polls?
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1 Answer

Answer :

It is just oo hard to tell. It could well be a difference in the quality of the pollsters the smaller outlets can afford. It could also be caution on the big media site’s parts because of the problem in calling some states last election (which they took heat for) and the Obama factor that turned up in the primaries this go round, which they are all now compensating for. See this MSNBC article. Excerpt: “NEW YORK – Barack Obama’s tendency through the Democratic primaries to perform better in exit polls than he actually does at the ballot box has some media organizations nervous heading into Election Night. Television networks want to avoid having their performance become an issue for the third straight presidential election. Their political experts hope that experience gained during the primaries will help things run smoothly Nov. 4.”
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